Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.544912 4.229888 4.993528 5.905318 6.961573 8.143790 9.564169
2025-10-05 2.700950 3.618873 4.747186 6.224775 8.096002 10.372973 13.337785
2025-10-12 2.126760 3.139691 4.489305 6.393659 8.981441 12.341109 16.991947
2025-10-19 1.769928 2.839393 4.365051 6.655819 9.953459 14.464009 21.019140
2025-10-26 1.444386 2.502130 4.108282 6.658676 10.522741 16.054988 24.440363
2025-11-02 1.147981 2.141551 3.742910 6.423170 10.681524 17.039101 27.050628
2025-11-09 0.923112 1.848060 3.425093 6.197331 10.798531 17.934811 29.566174
2025-11-16 0.785285 1.676296 3.274372 6.208834 11.270010 19.384465 33.009074
2025-11-23 0.673976 1.530067 3.141288 6.223814 11.733977 20.842954 36.559540
2025-11-30 0.573251 1.383337 2.981905 6.164738 12.053623 22.077550 39.825221
2025-12-07 0.465229 1.198027 2.718113 5.873340 11.922643 22.532777 41.818506
2025-12-14 0.399547 1.091197 2.591639 5.823326 12.216181 23.725817 45.128556
2025-12-21 0.343064 0.995179 2.475756 5.785526 12.540550 25.021264 48.756312
2025-12-28 0.324578 0.988572 2.552155 6.152337 13.683215 27.882469 55.361841
2026-01-04 0.294960 0.946850 2.543098 6.335681 14.477659 30.158955 61.064949
2026-01-11 0.273653 0.922693 2.570619 6.600724 15.460296 32.856429 67.712308
2026-01-18 0.240370 0.856874 2.487279 6.605039 15.898192 34.537800 72.566291
2026-01-25 0.200419 0.760795 2.311867 6.371642 15.802455 35.162892 75.446082
2026-02-01 0.167214 0.676183 2.150427 6.147534 15.699170 35.756014 78.289804
2026-02-08 0.147868 0.631624 2.088553 6.158991 16.121088 37.440796 83.377492
2026-02-15 0.131088 0.591229 2.031226 6.173875 16.550324 39.167116 88.648628
2026-02-22 0.114215 0.545449 1.950068 6.115223 16.799453 40.527171 93.252939
2026-03-01 0.093574 0.478260 1.791586 5.825905 16.463449 40.601521 95.202724